Column: Global energy, emissions and technology diffusion: Kemp – Reuters

Aerial view of the thermal power plant in Tuzla, Bosnia and Herzegovina April 21, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo

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  • John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own

LONDON, Dec 10 (Reuters) – Evolution of global energy markets and greenhouse emissions in the next few decades will largely be determined by the diffusion of new technologies across the fast-growing but only modestly prosperous countries of Asia.

Research and forecasting on energy and emissions still focuses far too much on North America and Western Europe, ignoring the implications of the large and rising share of energy consumption in Asia.

The problem is not new: “vast numbers of our citizens … look out on to a very vivid Western foreground, but only to a very dim Eastern background,” British geographer Halford Mackinder wrote a century ago (“Democratic ideals and reality”, 1919).

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Most writing about energy is still rooted in the world of 1945 at the end of the Second World War, or 1989 at the end of the Cold War, when the world economy was dominated by …….


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